Correct Ones are bolded


Alabama-McCain
Alaska-McCain
Arkansas-McCain
Arizona-McCain
California-Obama
Colorado-Obama
Connecticut-Obama
Delaware-Obama
Florida-Obama
Georgia-McCain
Hawaii-Obama
Idaho-McCain
Illinois-Obama
Indiana-Obama
Iowa-Obama
Kansas-McCain
Kentucky-McCain
Louisiana-McCain
Maine-Obama
Maryland-Obama
Massachusetts-Obama
Michigan-Obama
Minnesota-Obama
Mississippi-McCain
Missouri-Obama
Montana-McCain
Nebraska-McCain
Nevada-Obama
New Hampshire-Obama
New Jersey-Obama
New Mexico-Obama
New York-Obama
North Carolina-Obama
North Dakota-Obama
Ohio-Obama
Oklahoma-McCain
Oregon-Obama
Pennsylvania-Obama
Rhode Island-Obama
South Carolina-McCain
South Dakota-McCain
Tennessee-McCain
Texas-McCain
Utah-McCain
Vermont-Obama
Virginia-Obama
Washington-Obama
Washington D.C.-Obama
West Virginia-McCain
Wisconsin-Obama
Wyoming-McCain

Correct 49/51

Senate Races

Alabama-Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska-Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas-Mark Pryor (D)
Colorado-Mark Udall (D)
Delaware-Joe Biden (D)
Georgia-Jim Martin (D) in a run-off
Idaho-Jim Risch (R)
Illinois-Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa-Tom Harkin (D)
Kansas-Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky-Bruce Lunsford (D)
Louisiana-Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine-Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts-John Kerry (D)
Michigan-Carl Levin (D)
Minnesota-Al Franken (D)
Mississippi 1-Thad Cochran (R)
Mississippi 2-Roger Wicker (R)
Montana-Max Baucus (D)
Nebraska-Mike Johanns (R)
New Hampshire-Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey-Frank Lautenberg (D)
New Mexico-Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina-Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma-Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon-Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island-Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina-Lindsey Graham (R)
South Dakota-Tim Johnson (D)
Tennessee-Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas-John Cornyn (R)
Virginia-Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia-Jay Rockefeller (D)
Wyoming 1-Mike Enzi (R)
Wyoming 2-John Barrasso (R)

31/32 with 3 remaining to be called

New Senate Composition

59 Democrats
39 Republicans
2 Independents


House Races

Alabama

(4-3 Republican)

1. Jo Bonner (R)
2. Bobby Bright (D)
3. Mike D. Rogers (R)
4. Robert Aderholt (R)
5. Parker Griffith (D)
6. Spencer Bachus (R)
7. Artur Davis (D)

Alaska

(1 Democrat)

At-large. Ethan Berkowitz (D)


Arizona

(5-3 Democratic)

1. Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
2. Trent Franks (R)
3. John Shadegg (R)
4. Ed Pastor (D)
5. Harry Mitchell (D)
6. Jeff Flake (R)
7. Raúl M. Grijalva (D)
8. Gabrielle Giffords (D)

Arkansas

(3-1 Democratic)

1. Marion Berry (D)
2. Vic Snyder (D)
3. John Boozman (R)
4. Mike Ross (D)

California

(36-18 Democratic)

1. Mike Thompson (D)
2. Wally Herger (R)
3. Dan Lungren (R)
4. Charlie Brown (D)
5. Doris Matsui (D)
6. Lynn Woolsey (D)
7. George Miller (D)
8. Nancy Pelosi (D)
9. Barbara Lee (D)
10. Ellen Tauscher (D)
11. Jerry McNerney (D)
12. Jackie Speier (D)
13. Pete Stark (D)
14. Anna Eshoo (D)
15. Mike Honda (D)
16. Zoe Lofgren (D)
17. Sam Farr (D)
18. Dennis Cardoza (D)
19. George Radanovich (R)
20. Jim Costa (D)
21. Devin Nunes (R)
22. Kevin McCarthy (R)
23. Lois Capps (D)
24. Elton Gallegly (R)
25. Howard McKeon (R)
26. David Dreier (R)
27. Brad Sherman (D)
28. Howard Berman (D)
29. Adam Schiff (D)
30. Henry Waxman (D)
31. Xavier Becerra (D)
32. Hilda Solis (D)
33. Diane Watson (D)
34. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D)
35. Maxine Waters (D)
36. Jane Harman (D)
37. Laura Richardson (D)
38. Grace Napolitano (D)
39. Linda Sánchez (D)
40. Edward R. Royce (R)
41. Jerry Lewis (R)
42. Gary Miller (R)
43. Joe Baca (D)
44. Ken Calvert (R)
45. Mary Bono Mack (R)
46. Dana Rohrabacher (R)
47. Loretta Sanchez (D)
48. John Campbell (R)
49. Darrell Issa (R)
50. Nick Leibham (D)
51. Bob Filner (D)
52. Duncan Hunter Jr. (R)
53. Susan Davis (D)

Colorado

(5-2 Democratic)

1. Diana DeGette (D)
2. Jared Polis (D)
3. John Salazar (D)
4. Betsy Markey (D)
5. Doug Lamborn (R)
6. Mike Coffman (R)
7. Ed Perlmutter (D)

Connecticut

(5 Democrats)

1. John Larson (D)
2. Joe Courtney (D)
3. Rosa DeLauro (D)
4. Jim Himes (D)
5. Chris Murphy (D)

Delaware

(1 Republican)

At-large. Michael N. Castle (R)

Florida

(13-12 Republican)

1. Jeff Miller (R)
2. Allen Boyd (D)
3. Corrine Brown (D)
4. Ander Crenshaw (R)
5. Ginny Brown-Waite (R)
6. Cliff Stearns (R)
7. John Mica (R)
8. Alan Grayson (D)
9. Gus Bilirakis (R)
10. Bill Young (R)
11. Kathy Castor (D)
12. Adam Putnam (R)
13. Vern Buchanan (R)
14. Connie Mack IV (R)
15. Bill Posey (R)
16. Tom Rooney (R)
17. Kendrick Meek (D)
18. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R)
19. Robert Wexler (D)
20. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)
21. Raul Martinez (D)
22. Ron Klein (D)
23. Alcee Hastings (D)
24. Suzanne Kosmas (D)
25. Joe Garcia (D)

Georgia

(7-6 Republican)

1. Jack Kingston (R)
2. Sanford Bishop (D)
3. Lynn Westmoreland (R)
4. Hank Johnson (D)
5. John Lewis (D)
6. Tom Price (R)
7. John Linder (R)
8. Jim Marshall (D)
9. Nathan Deal (R)
10. Paul Broun (R)
11. Phil Gingrey (R)
12. John Barrow (D)
13. David Scott (D)

Hawaii

(2 Democrats)

1. Neil Abercrombie (D)
2. Mazie Hirono (D)

Idaho

(1-1 Split)

1. Walt Minnick (D)
2. Michael K. Simpson (R)

Illinois

(13-6 Democratic)

1. Bobby Rush (D)
2. Jesse Jackson, Jr. (D)
3. Dan Lipinski (D)
4. Luis Gutierrez (D)
5. Rahm Emanuel (D)
6. Peter Roskam (R)
7. Danny K. Davis (D)
8. Melissa Bean (D)
9. Janice D. Schakowsky (D)
10. Dan Seals (D)
11. Debbie Halvorson (D)
12. Jerry Costello (D)
13. Judy Biggert (R)
14. Bill Foster (D)
15. Timothy V. Johnson (R)
16. Donald Manzullo (R)
17. Philip Hare (D)
18. Aaron Schock (R)
19. John Shimkus (R)

Indiana

(5-4 Democratic)

1. Pete Visclosky (D)
2. Joe Donnelly (D)
3. Mark Souder (R)
4. Steve Buyer (R)
5. Dan Burton (R)
6. Mike Pence (R)
7. André Carson (D)
8. Brad Ellsworth (D)
9. Baron Hill (D)

Iowa

(3-2 Democratic)

1. Bruce Braley (D)
2. David Loebsack (D)
3. Leonard Boswell (D)
4. Tom Latham (R)
5. Steve King (R)

Kansas

(2-2 split)

1. Jerry Moran (R)
2. Nancy Boyda (D)
3. Dennis Moore (D)
4. Todd Tiahrt (R)

Kentucky

(3-3 Split)

1. Ed Whitfield (R)
2. David Boswell (D)
3. John Yarmuth (D)
4. Geoff Davis (R)
5. Harold Rogers (R)
6. Ben Chandler (D)

Louisiana

(4-3 Democratic)

1. Steve Scalise (R)
2. Helena Moreno (D) (Run-off)
3. Charlie Melancon (D)
4. Paul Carmouche (D) (Run-off)
5. Rodney Alexander (R)
6. Don Cazayoux (D)
7. Charles Boustany (R)

Maine

(2 Democrats)

1. Chellie Pingree (D)
2. Mike Michaud (D)

Maryland

(7-1 Democratic)

1. Frank Kratovil (D)
2. Dutch Ruppersberger (D)
3. John Sarbanes (D)
4. Donna Edwards (D)
5. Steny Hoyer (D)
6. Roscoe Bartlett (R)
7. Elijah Cummings (D)
8. Chris Van Hollen (D)

Massachusetts

(10 Democrats)

1. John Olver (D)
2. Richard Neal (D)
3. Jim McGovern (D)
4. Barney Frank (D)
5. Niki Tsongas (D)
6. John Tierney (D)
7. Ed Markey (D)
8. Mike Capuano (D)
9. Stephen Lynch (D)
10. Bill Delahunt (D)

Michigan

(8-7 Democratic)

1. Bart Stupak (D)
2. Peter Hoekstra (R)
3. Vern Ehlers (R)
4. David Lee Camp (R)
5. Dale E. Kildee (D)
6. Fred Upton (R)
7. Mark Schauer (D)
8. Mike J. Rogers (R)
9. Gary Peters (D)
10. Candice Miller (R)
11. Thaddeus McCotter (R)
12. Sander Levin (D)
13. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (D)
14. John Conyers (D)
15. John Dingell (D)

Minnesota

(7-1 Democratic)

1. Tim Walz (D)
2. John Kline (R)
3. Ashwin Madia (D)
4. Betty McCollum (D)
5. Keith Ellison (D)
6. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)
7. Collin Peterson (D)
8. Jim Oberstar (D)


Mississippi

(3-1 Democratic)

1. Travis Childers (D)
2. Bennie Thompson (D)
3. Gregg Harper (R)
4. Gene Taylor (D)


Missouri

(5-4 Democratic)

1. William Lacy Clay, Jr. (D)
2. Todd Akin (R)
3. Russ Carnahan (D)
4. Ike Skelton (D)
5. Emanuel Cleaver (D)
6. Sam Graves (R)
7. Roy Blunt (R)
8. Jo Ann Emerson (R)
9. Judy Baker (D)

Montana

(1 Republican)

At-large. Denny Rehberg (R)

Nebraska

(2-1 Republican)

1. Jeff Fortenberry (R)
2. Jim Esch (D)
3. Adrian Smith (R)

Nevada

(2-1 Democratic)

1. Shelley Berkley (D)
2. Dean Heller (R)
3. Dina Titus (D)

New Hampshire

(2 Democrats)

1. Carol Shea-Porter (D)
2. Paul Hodes (D)

New Jersey

(9-4 Democratic)

1. Rob Andrews (D)
2. Frank LoBiondo (R)
3. John Adler (D)
4. Chris Smith (R)
5. Scott Garrett (R)
6. Frank Pallone (D)
7. Linda Stender (D)
8. Bill Pascrell Jr. (D)
9. Steve Rothman (D)
10. Donald M. Payne (D)
11. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R)
12. Rush D. Holt Jr. (D)
13. Albio Sires (D)

New Mexico

(3 Democrats)

1. Martin Heinrich (D)
2. Harry Teague (D)
3. Ben Ray Lujan (D)

New York

(26-3 Democratic)

1. Tim Bishop (D)
2. Steve Israel (D)
3. Peter T. King (R)
4. Carolyn McCarthy (D)
5. Gary Ackerman (D)
6. Gregory W. Meeks (D)
7. Joseph Crowley (D)
8. Jerrold Nadler (D)
9. Anthony D. Weiner (D)
10. Ed Towns (D)
11. Yvette D. Clarke (D)
12. Nydia Velázquez (D)
13. Mike McMahon (D)
14. Carolyn B. Maloney (D)
15. Charles B. Rangel (D)
16. José Serrano (D)
17. Eliot L. Engel (D)
18. Nita Lowey (D)
19. John Hall (D)
20. Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
21. Paul Tonko (D)
22. Maurice Hinchey (D)
23. John M. McHugh (R)
24. Michael Arcuri (D)
25. Dan Maffei (D)
26. Chris Lee (R)
27. Brian Higgins (D)
28. Louise McIntosh Slaughter (D)
29. Eric Massa (D)

North Carolina

(8-5 Democratic)

1. G. K. Butterfield (D)
2. Bob Etheridge (D)
3. Walter B. Jones (R)
4. David Price (D)
5. Virginia Foxx (R)
6. Howard Coble (R)
7. Mike McIntyre (D)
8. Larry Kissell (D)
9. Sue Wilkins Myrick (R)
10. Patrick McHenry (R)
11. Heath Shuler (D)
12. Mel Watt (D)
13. Brad Miller (D)

North Dakota

(1 Democrat)

At-large. Earl Pomeroy (D)

Ohio

(11-7 Democratic)

1. Steve Driehaus (D)
2. Vic Wulsin (D)
3. Michael R. Turner (R)
4. Jim Jordan (R)
5. Bob Latta (R)
6. Charlie Wilson (D)
7. Steve Austria (R)
8. John A. Boehner (R)
9. Marcy Kaptur (D)
10. Dennis J. Kucinich (D)
11. Marcia Fudge (D)
12. Pat Tiberi (R)
13. Betty Sutton (D)
14. Steve LaTourette (R)
15. Mary Jo Kilroy (D)
16. John Boccieri (D)
17. Tim Ryan (D)
18. Zack Space (D)

Oklahoma

(4-1 Republican)

1. John Sullivan (R)
2. Dan Boren (D)
3. Frank Lucas (R)
4. Tom Cole (R)
5. Mary Fallin (R)

Oregon

(4-1 Democratic)

1. David Wu (D)
2. Greg Walden (R)
3. Earl Blumenauer (D)
4. Peter DeFazio (D)
5. Kurt Schrader (D)

Pennsylvania

(12-7 Democratic)

1. Bob Brady (D)
2. Chaka Fattah (D)
3. Kathy Dahlkemper (D)
4. Jason Altmire (D)
5. Glenn Thompson (R)
6. Jim Gerlach (R)
7. Joe Sestak (D)
8. Patrick Murphy (D)
9. Bill Shuster (R)
10. Chris Carney (D)
11. Paul E. Kanjorski (D)
12. John Murtha (D)
13. Allyson Schwartz (D)
14. Michael F. Doyle (D)
15. Charlie Dent (R)
16. Joseph R. Pitts (R)
17. Tim Holden (D)
18. Tim Murphy (R)
19. Todd Platts (R)

Rhode Island

(2 Democrats)

1. Patrick J. Kennedy (D)
2. James Langevin (D)

South Carolina

(4-2 Republican)

1. Henry E. Brown, Jr. (R)
2. Joe Wilson (R)
3. Gresham Barrett (R)
4. Bob Inglis (R)
5. John Spratt (D)
6. Jim Clyburn (D)

South Dakota

(1 Democrat)

At-large. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D)

Tennessee

(5-4 Democratic)

1. Phil Roe (R)
2. John Duncan (R)
3. Zach Wamp (R)
4. Lincoln Davis (D)
5. Jim Cooper (D)
6. Bart Gordon (D)
7. Marsha Blackburn (R)
8. John S. Tanner (D)
9. Steve Cohen (D)

Texas

(18-14 Republican)

1. Louie Gohmert (R)
2. Ted Poe (R)
3. Sam Johnson (R)
4. Ralph Hall (R)
5. Jeb Hensarling (R)
6. Joe Barton (R)
7. John Culberson (R)
8. Kevin Brady (R)
9. Al Green (D)
10. Larry Joe Doherty (D)
11. Mike Conaway (R)
12. Kay Granger (R)
13. Mac Thornberry (R)
14. Ron Paul (R)
15. Rubén Hinojosa (D)
16. Silvestre Reyes (D)
17. Chet Edwards (D)
18. Sheila Jackson-Lee (D)
19. Randy Neugebauer (R)
20. Charlie Gonzalez (D)
21. Lamar S. Smith (R)
22. Nick Lampson (D)
23. Ciro Rodriguez (D)
24. Kenny Marchant (R)
25. Lloyd Doggett (D)
26. Michael C. Burgess (R)
27. Solomon P. Ortiz (D)
28. Henry Cuellar (D)
29. Gene Green (D)
30. Eddie Bernice Johnson (D)
31. John Carter (R)
32. Pete Sessions (R)

Utah

(2-1 Republican)

1. Rob Bishop (R)
2. Jim Matheson (D)
3. Jason Chaffetz (R)

Vermont

(1 Democrat)

At-large. Peter Welch (D)

Virginia

(7-4 Republican)

1. Rob Wittman (R)
2. Thelma Drake (R)
3. Robert C. Scott (D)
4. Randy Forbes (R)
5. Virgil Goode (R)
6. Bob Goodlatte (R)
7. Eric Cantor (R)
8. Jim Moran (D)
9. Rick Boucher (D)
10. Frank Wolf (R)
11. Gerry Connolly (D)

Washington

(7-2 Democratic)

1. Jay Inslee (D)
2. Rick Larsen (D)
3. Brian Baird (D)
4. Doc Hastings (R)
5. Cathy McMorris-Rodgers (R)
6. Norm Dicks (D)
7. Jim McDermott (D)
8. Darcy Burner (D)
9. Adam Smith (D)

West Virginia

(2-1 Democratic)

1. Alan Mollohan (D)
2. Shelley Moore Capito (R)
3. Nick Rahall (D)

Wisconsin

(5-3 Democratic)

1. Paul Ryan (R)
2. Tammy Baldwin (D)
3. Ron Kind (D)
4. Gwen Moore (D)
5. Jim Sensenbrenner (R)
6. Tom Petri (R)
7. Dave Obey (D)
8. Steve Kagen (D)

Wyoming

(1 Republican)

At-large. Cynthia Lummis (R)

New House

Democratic-274
Republicans-161

In the Ontario Election I successfully called 98 out of 107 ridings correctly so here we go again. Dispute it all you want, I do personally believe the atlantic will be for the most part except for New Brunswick a wholesale Conservative meltdown. You also have to keep in mind that I've tried to be Fair, I believe the Conservatives will win, I just think there will be a few incumbent Conservatives who will get booted.

Newfoundland & Labrador

Avalon : Scott Andrews-LIB
Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor: Scott Simms-LIB
Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte: Gerry Byrne-LIB
Labrador: Todd Russell-LIB
Random—Burin—St. George's: Judy Foote-LIB
St. John's East: Jack Harris-NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl: Siobhan Coady-LIB

Totals
6-LIB
1-NDP

7/7 Correct

Prince Edward Island

Cardigan : Lawrence MacAulay-LIB
Charlottetown: Shawn Murphy-LIB
Egmont: Keith Milligan-LIB
Malpeque: Wayne Easter-LIB


Totals
4-LIB

3/4 Correct


Prince Edward Island

Cape Breton—Canso : Rodger Cuzner-LIB
Central Nova: Peter MacKay-CPC
Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley: Bill Casey-IND
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour: Michael Savage-LIB
Halifax: Megan Leslie-NDP
Halifax West: Geoff Regan-LIB
Kings—Hants: Scott Brison-LIB
Sackville—Eastern Shore: Peter Stoffer-NDP
South Shore—St. Margaret's: Gordon Earle-NDP
Sydney—Victoria: Mark Eyking-LIB
West Nova: Robert Thibault-LIB

Totals
5-LIB
3-NDP
1-CPC
1-IND

9/11 Correct

New Brunswick

Acadie-Bathurst : Yvon Godin-NDP
Beauséjour: Dominic LeBlanc-LIB
Frederiction: David Innes-LIB
Fundy Royal: Rob Moore-CPC
Madawaska—Restigouche: Jean-Claude D'Amours-LIB
Miramichi: Charles Hubbard-LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe: Brian Murphy-LIB
New Brunswick Southwest: Greg Thompson-CPC
Saint John: Paul Zed-LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac: Mike Allen-CPC

Totals
6-Liberal
3-CPC
1-NDP

7/10

Atlantic Totals

22 Liberals
5 New Democrats
4 Conservatives
1 Independent

Quebec


Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou: Yvon Lévesque-BQ
Abitibi—Témiscamingue: Marc Lemay-BQ
Ahuntsic: Eleni Bakopanos-LIB
Alfred-Pellan: Robert Carrier-BQ
Argenteuil—Papineau—Mirabel: Mario Laframboise-BQ
Bas-Richelieu—Nicolet—Bécancour: Louis Plamondon-BQ
Beauce: Maxime Bernier-CPC
Beauharnois—Salaberry: Claude DeBellefeuille-BQ
Beauport—Limoilou: Éléonore Mainguy-BQ
Berthier—Maskinongé: Guy André-BQ
Bourassa: Denis Coderre-LIB
Brome—Missisquoi: Denis Paradis-LIB
Brossard—La Prairie: Marcel Lussier-BQ
Chambly—Borduas: Yves Lessard-BQ
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles: Denis Courtout-BQ
Châteauguay—Saint-Constant: Carole Freeman-BQ
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord: Robert Bouchard-BQ
Compton-Stanstead: France Bonsant-BQ
Drummond: Roger Pomerleau-BQ
Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine: Raynald Blais-BQ
Gatineau: Richard Nadeau-BQ
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia: Jean-Yves Roy, BQ
Hochelaga: Réal Ménard-BQ
Honoré-Mercier: Pablo Rodriguez-LIB
Hull—Aylmer: Marcel Proulx-LIB
Jeanne-Le Ber: Thierry St-Cyr-BQ
Joliette: Pierre Paquette-BQ
Jonquière—Alma: Chantale Bouchard-BQ
La Pointe-de-l'Île: Francine Lalonde-BQ
Lac-Saint-Louis: Francis Scarpaleggia-LIB
LaSalle—Émard: Lise Zarac-LIB
Laurentides—Labelle: Johanne Deschamps-BQ
Laurier—Sainte-Marie: Gilles Duceppe-BQ
Laval: Nicole Demers-BQ
Laval—Les Îles: Raymonde Folco-LIB
Lévis—Bellechasse: Steven Blaney-CPC
Longueuil—Pierre-Boucher: Jean Dorion-BQ
Lotbinière—Chutes-de-la-Chaudière: Jacques Gourde-CPC
Louis-Hébert: Pascal-Pierre Paillé-BQ
Louis-Saint-Laurent: Josée Verner-CPC
Manicouagan: Gérard Asselin-BQ
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin: Serge Ménard-BQ
Mégantic—L'Érable: Christian Paradis-CPC
Montcalm: Roger Gaudet-BQ
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup: Paul Crete-BQ
Montmorency—Charlevoix—Haute-Côte-Nord: Michel Guimond-BQ
Mount Royal: Irwin Cotler-LIB
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Lachine: Marlene Jennings-LIB
Outremont: Thomas Mulcair-NDP
Papineau: Justin Trudeau-LIB
Pierrefonds—Dollard: Bernard Patry-LIB
Pontiac: Lawrence Cannon-CPC
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier: Andre Arthur-IND
Québec: Christian Gagnon-BQ
Repentigny: Nicolas Dufour-BQ
Richmond—Arthabaska: Andre Bellevance-BQ
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques: Louise Thibault-IND
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles: Luc Desnoyers-BQ
Rivière-du-Nord: Monique Guay-BQ
Roberval—Lac-Saint-Jean: Denis Lebel-CPC
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie: Bernard Bigras-BQ
Saint-Bruno—Saint-Hubert: Carole Lavallée-BQ
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot: Ève-Mary Thaï Thi Lac-BQ
Saint-Jean: Claude Bachand-BQ
Saint-Lambert: Josée Beaudin-BQ
Saint-Laurent—Cartierville: Stéphane Dion-LIB
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel: Massimo Pacetti-LIB
Saint-Maurice—Champlain: Jean-Yves Laforest-BQ
Shefford: Robert Vincent-BQ
Sherbrooke: Serge Cardin-BQ
Terrebonne—Blainville: Diane Bourgeois-BQ
Trois-Rivières: Paulle Brunelle-BQ
Vaudreuil—Soulanges: Meilli Faille-BQ
Verchères—Les Patriotes: Luc Malo-BQ
Westmount—Ville-Marie: Marc Garneau-LIB


Quebec Total

52 Bloquistes
14 Liberals
6 Conservatives
2 Independents
1 New Democrat

65/75


Ontario

Ajax-Pickering: Mark Holland-LIB
Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing: Carol Hughes-NDP
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale: David Sweet-CPC
Barrie: Patrick Brown-CPC
Beaches-East York: Maria Minna-LIB
Bramalea-Gore-Malton: Gurbax Mahli-LIB
Brampton West: Andrew Kania-LIB
Brampton-Springdale: Ruby Dhalla-LIB
Brant: Lloyd St. Amand-LIB
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: Larry Miller-CPC
Burlington: Mike Wallace-CPC
Cambridge: Gary Goodyear-CPC
Carleton-Mississippi Mills: Gordon O'Connor-CPC
Chatham-Kent-Essex: Dave Van Kesteren-CPC
Davenport: Mario Silva-LIB
Don Valley East: Yasmin Ratansi-LIB
Don Valley West: Rob Oliphant-LIB
Dufferin-Caledon: David Tilson-CPC
Durham: Bev Oda-CPC
Eglinton-Lawrence: Joe Volpe-LIB
Elgin-Middlesex-London: Joe Preston-CPC
Essex: Jeff Watson-CPC
Etobicoke Centre: Borys Wrzesnewskyj-LIB
Etobicoke North: Kirsty Duncan-LIB
Etobicoke-Lakeshore: Michael Ignatieff-LIB
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell: Dan Boudria-LIB
Guelph: Frank Valeriote-LIB
Haldimand-Norfolk: Eric Hoskins-LIB
Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock: Barry Devolin-CPC
Halton: Garth Turner-LIB
Hamilton Centre: David Christopherson-NDP
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek: Larry DiIanni-LIB
Hamilton Mountain: Chris Charlton-NDP
Huron-Bruce: Ben Lobb-CPC
Kenora: Roger Valley-LIB
Kingston and the Islands: Peter Milliken-LIB
Kitchener Centre: Karen Redman-LIB
Kitchener-Conestoga: Harold Albrecht-CPC
Kitchener-Waterloo: Andrew Telegdi-LIB
Lambton-Kent-Middlesex: Bev Shipley-CPC
Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox & Addington: Scott Reid-CPC
Leeds-Grenville: Gord Brown-CPC
London North Centre: Glen Pearson-LIB
London West: Sue Barnes-LIB
London-Fanshawe: Irene Mathyssen-NDP
Markham-Unionville: John McCallum-LIB
Mississauga East-Cooksville: Albina Guarnieri-LIB
Mississauga South: Paul Szabo-LIB
Mississauga-Brampton South: Navdeep Bains-LIB
Mississauga-Erindale: Omar Alghabra-LIB
Mississauga-Streetsville: Bonnie Crombie-LIB
Nepean-Carleton: Pierre Poilievre-CPC
Newmarket-Aurora: Tim Jones-LIB
Niagara Falls: Rob Nicholson-CPC
Niagara West-Glanbrook: Dean Allison-CPC
Nickel Belt: Claude Gravelle-NDP
Nipissing-Timiskaming: Anthony Rota-LIB
Northumberland-Quinte West: Rick Norlock-CPC
Oak Ridges-Markham: Lui Temelkovski-LIB
Oakville: Bonnie Brown-LIB
Oshawa: Colin Carrie-CPC
Ottawa Centre: Paul Dewar-NDP
Ottawa South: David McGuinty-LIB
Ottawa West-Nepean: John Baird-CPC
Ottawa Orleans: Marc Godbout-LIB
Ottawa-Vanier: Mauril Belanger-LIB
Oxford: Dave McKenzie-CPC
Parkdale-High Park: Peggy Nash-NDP
Parry Sound-Muskoka: Tony Clement-CPC
Perth-Wellington: Gary Schellenberger-CPC
Peterborough: Dean DelMastro-CPC
Pickering-Scarborough East: Dan McTeague-LIB
Prince Edward-Hastings: Daryl Kramp-CPC
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke: Cheryl Gallant-CPC
Richmond Hill: Bryon Wilfert-LIB
Sarnia-Lambton: Pat Davidson-CPC
Sault Ste. Marie: Tony Martin-NDP
Scarborough Centre: John Cannis-LIB
Scarborough Southwest: Michelle Simson-LIB
Scarborough-Agincourt: Jim Karygiannis-LIB
Scarborough-Guildwood: John McKay-LIB
Scarborough-Rouge River: Derek Lee-LIB
Simcoe North: Bruce Stanton-CPC
Simcoe-Grey: Helena Guergis-CPC
St. Catharines: Rick Dykstra-CPC
St. Paul's: Carolyn Bennett-LIB
Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry: Guy Lauzon-CPC
Sudbury: Diane Marleau-LIB
Thornhill: Susan Kadis-LIB
Thunder Bay-Rainy River: John Rafferty-NDP
Thunder Bay-Superior North: Bruce Hyer-NDP
Timmins-James Bay: Charlie Angus-NDP
Toronto Centre: Bob Rae-LIB
Toronto-Danforth: Jack Layton-NDP
Trinity-Spadina: Christine Innes-LIB
Vaughan: Maurizio Bevilacqua-LIB
Welland: John Maloney-LIB
Wellington-Halton Hills: Michael Chong-CPC
Whitby-Oshawa: Jim Flaherty-CPC
Willowdale: Martha Hall Findlay-LIB
Windsor West: Brian Masse-NDP
Windsor-Tecumseh: Joe Comartin-NDP
York Centre: Ken Dryden-LIB
York South-Weston: Alan Tonks-LIB
York West: Judy Sgro-LIB
York-Simcoe: Peter Van Loan-CPC

Totals

56 Liberals
35 Conservatives
17 New Democrats

90/108

Manitoba

Brandon-Souris: Merv Tweed-CPC
Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia: Steven Fletcher-CPC
Churchill: Tina Keeper-LIB
Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette: Inky Mark-CPC
Elmwood-Transcona: Jim Maloway-NDP
Kildonan-St. Paul: Joy Smith-CPC
Portage-Lisgar: Candice Hoeppner-CPC
Provencher: Vic Toews-CPC
Saint Boniface: Raymond Simard-LIB
Selkirk-Interlake: James Bezan-CPC
Winnipeg Centre: Pat Martin-NDP
Winnipeg North: Judy Wasylycia-Leis-NDP
Winnipeg South: John Loewen-LIB
Winnipeg South Centre: Anita Neville-LIB

7 Conservatives
4 Liberals
3 NDP

11/14

Saskatchewan

Battlefords-Lloydminster: Gerry Ritz-CPC
Blackstrap: Lynne Yelich-CPC
Cypress Hills-Grasslands: David Anderson-CPC
Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River: Rob Clarke-CPC
Palliser: Don Mitchell-NDP
Prince Albert: Randy Hoback-CPC
Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre: Tom Lukiwski-CPC
Regina-Qu'Appelle: Andrew Scheer-CPC
Saskatoon-Humboldt: Brad Trost-CPC
Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar: Nettie Wiebe-NDP
Saskatoon-Wanuskewin: Maurice Vellacott-CPC
Souris-Moose Mountain: Ed Komarnicki-CPC
Wascana: Ralph Goodale-LIB
Yorkton-Melville: Gerry Breitkreuz-CPC

11 Conservatives
2 New Democrats
1 Liberal

12/14

Alberta

Calgary Centre: Lee Richardson-CPC
Calgary Centre-North: Jim Prentice-CPC
Calgary East: Deepak Obhrai-CPC
Calgary Northeast: Devinder Shory-CPC
Calgary Southeast: Jason Kenney-CPC
Calgary Southwest: Stephen Harper-CPC
Calgary West: Rob Anders-CPC
Calgary-Nose Hill: Diane Ablonczy-CPC
Crowfoot: Kevin Sorenson-CPC
Edmonton Centre: Laurie Hawn-CPC
Edmonton East: Peter Goldring-CPC
Edmonton-Leduc: James Rajotte-CPC
Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont: Mike Lake-CPC
Edmonton-Sherwood Park: Tim Uppal-CPC
Edmonton-Spruce Grove: Rona Ambrose-CPC
Edmonton-St. Albert: Brent Rathgeber-CPC
Edmonton-Strathcona: Rahim Jaffer-CPC
Fort McMurray-Athabasca: Brian Jean-CPC
Lethbridge: Rick Casson-CPC
Macleod: Ted Menzies-CPC
Medicine Hat: LaVar Payne-CPC
Peace River: Chris Warkentin-CPC
Red Deer: Earl Dreeshan-CPC
Vegreville-Wainwright: Leon Benoit-CPC
Westlock-St. Paul: Brian Storseth-CPC
Wetaskiwin: Blaine Calkins-CPC
Wild Rose: Blake Richards-CPC
Yellowhead: Rob Merrifield-CPC

28 Conservatives

27/28

British Columbia

Abbotsford: Ed Fast-CPC
British Columbia Southern Interior: Alex Atamanenko-NDP
Burnaby-Douglas: Bill Siksay-NDP
Burnaby-New Westminster: Peter Julian-NDP
Cariboo-Prince George: Dick Harris-CPC
Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon: Chuck Strahl-CPC
Delta-Richmond East: John Cummins-CPC
Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca: Keith Martin-LIB
Fleetwood-Port Kells: Brenda Locke-LIB
Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo: Michael Crawford-NDP
Kelowna-Lake Country: Ron Cannan-CPC
Kootenay-Columbia: Jim Abbott-CPC
Langley: Mark Warawa-CPC
Nanaimo-Alberni: James Lunney-CPC
Nanaimo-Cowichan: Jean Crowder-NDP
New Westminster-Coquitlam: Dawn Black-NDP
Newton-North Delta: Sukh Dhaliwal-LIB
North Vancouver: Andrew Saxton-CPC
Okanagan-Coquihalla: Stockwell Day-CPC
Okanagan-Shuswap: Colin Mayes-CPC
Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission: Randy Kamp-CPC
Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam: James Moore-CPC
Prince George-Peace River: Jay Hill-CPC
Richmond: Raymond Chan-LIB
Saanich-Gulf Islands: Briony Penn-LIB
Skeena-Bulkley Valley: Nathan Cullen-NDP
South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale: Russ Hiebert-CPC
Surrey North: Rachid Arab-NDP
Vancouver Centre: Hedy Fry-LIB
Vancouver East: Libby Davies-NDP
Vancouver Island North: Catherine Bell-NDP
Vancouver Kingsway: Wendy Yuan-LIB
Vancouver Quadra: Joyce Murray-LIB
Vancouver South: Ujjal Dosanjh-LIB
Victoria: Denise Savoie-NDP
West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country: John Weston-CPC

16 Conservatives
11 New Democrats
9 Liberals

30/36

Territories
Yukon: Larry Bagnell-LIB
Western Arctic: Dennis Bevington-NDP
Nunavut: Kirt Ejesiak-LIB

2 Liberals
1 New Democrat

2/3


Final Total

108 Conservatives
105 Liberals
52 Bloquistes
40 New Democrats
3 Independents

How My Predictions Stacked up

263/308

85%

Throughout the last couple of years we were hearing so much about how the Tories were supposedly running one of the strongest and most organized campaigns. Complete with a new state of the art war-room. Yet if anything is to be learned this week. It is that the Tories having a well-oiled machine is a myth. Let's just Recap what happened this week.

*The first and major gaffe of the week is Puffingate, which revolved around the funny little bird dropping a deuce on a photo of Stephanie Dion on a Tory Attack Site. Harper was forced to apologize because of this idiocy and as well his own campaign team had to scramble to replace it.

*The Tories appointed a candidate in the riding of Halifax and then two days later she was forced to resign because it was found she had a criminal record

*Tory Loose Cannon Cheryl Gallant ridiculously claims that the liberals will tax or ban firewood.

*Their Candidate in Madawaska-Restigouche, New Brunswick is getting sued over a failed business venture.

*After initally opposing Elizabeth May in the debates, Harper bowed to Public Pressure and Reversed himself.

*Conservative MP's Rona Ambrose and Royal Galipeau Fraudulently used an Ottawa Kids store to supposedly announce new Child Care Policy Details.\

*And most recently the Conservatives had to can their communications director after he implied that Criticism from a father of a soldier killed in Afghanistan was politically motivated.

If this is what we can expect of the Tories' Election Machine for the next couple of weeks. Well let's just say that Majority Government may not be in reach for them.

I know I'm probably going to take heat for deviating from the Liberal Line here.

First of all, No matter who you are, Tom Lukiwski's comments were offensive, disgusting and repugnant. That being said he should at the very least resign from his parliamentary secretary job. That being said I want to delve into the tape and talk about why Mr. Lukiwski said the things he said.

Number One, I know Mr. Lukiwski's record on Gay Rights are not good. He's voted against Gay Marriage three times.

Number Two, I'm not somebody who is going to call people a homophobe for voting against Gay Marriage unless they said some really despicable things during a debate in the House of Commons.

Number Three, You have to realize the time, this is 1991 we are talking about. At that time Homosexuality was still not as accepted as it is today, secondly, you have to watch the Video's Context, this guy was likely drunk off his ass (see the beer bottle in his hand), I'm not saying that gets him off scot-free, but I truly do think the alcohol in his system was a contributing factor.

Personally, I think this is just Mr. Lukiwski being an idiot, If you watch the entire video you can easily tell these are people just having a little too much fun and having had way too much to drink. Now I've never been drunk, but I can definitely tell you that people do not act the way they normally do when they are (Trust me, I've been around people that are drunk, and while they may say things that aren't normal, I don't believe they aren't the people who they truly are for a second). The video in my opinion is pretty much a drunken frat party.

And I know Gay Rights groups want to make a big deal out of this and I understand why, but look, if the Prime Minister will Repudiate the comments then I will consider the matter case closed.

Even though I'm a liberal, I think Mr. Lukiwski, the person himself has been raked through the coals enough, he should still have the decency to resign his Secretary post.

Since we've just come off Easter, I think it's only right I tell Jim Flaherty what I think about his recent comments about our Ontario Budget.

Jim, Go Suck an Egg. We don't need you telling our province how to run our budget. See, when you guys were elected, you and your party said: you were going to let the provinces have more control over their jurisdiction.

Well, let's just chalk that up to another broken promise. Jim seriously, Are you the Finance Minister of Canada or are you the Finance Minister of Ontario? Because, if you really don't want your current Job and you are really looking for John Tory's Job. Step right up and take it, because I would love nothing more then to have you out the current job you own. Because, all you've done since you've gotten into office, is start laying the groundwork to ruin our country financially.

Jim, I want to say this as nicely as I can, but I'm really angry at how you've insulted my province. So in the nicest possible way I can say it.

F*** you Jim.

I'm hoping that tonight we will have change but considering this is "Alberta" I'm not going to be surprised when we have an eleventh straight conservative government in Alberta, admittedly I'm not from Alberta. I know that Alberta has always been a conservative stronghold, I'm not stupid. But let's be honest folks, even Alberta needs a change.

I knew damn well the Liberals were not going to hold the federal governments reigns forever. Let's be serious though, The Tories in Alberta are a bunch of tired old politicians who have run out of ideas and can pretty much just sit on their thumbs and do nothing, because they think Albertans are Idiots, I know they aren't idiots, but to be serious, don't you guys get tired of having the same damn party win every election? It's not even a damn fight.

Seriously Alberta, do something wild. Stop being so boring and predictable.

So I sit down this morning for my morning coffee and open up a paper and the first thing I find, is this. I almost spat out my coffee after reading this. Folks, there is no nice way to put this. This is fascism in action pure and simple, I knew Harper was a bad prime minister, but this takes the cake, I saw this story and my blood boiled. I know I haven't been on much but when I see something like this get barely any coverage anywhere else and then have Sandra Buckler, the PM's Propaganda Gal says that they have no plans to "pursue" such a project.

Are you fucking kidding me? Seriously take a look at that, they got caught with their pants down on this one, do they honestly believe people are that stupid? Where is the media on this issue? Kudos to the Toronto star for unearthing this horrifying situation. Stephen Harper is a total Hypocrite when it comes to Ethics, he slammed the liberals for lack of transparency and yet he has run one of the most secretive governments in Canadian history. He also liked attacking the Liberals over a sponsorship scandal, until it was found his own party violated the law trying to win the 2006 election by laundering money through weak candidates. Stephen Harper plain and simple is a thug who pushes people around and states that it's his way or the highway. He likes to talk about how he's such a leader, well Stevie, maybe I can tell you that Leaders are not thugs and they don't bully and push people around to get their way. True Leaders are people who listen and try to compromise and find a solution for all Canadians and not for one segment of the population.

There are obviously many opinions in the Liberal Caucus right now that we should avoid an election espeically with the release of a poll right now that shows Harper is in Majority Range. Dion realistically has two options, I'm almost certain that it is not going to involve voting for the throne speech.

1) Dion can abstain or have some MP's abstain from the vote to ensure that the speech passes, but it is voiced that the Liberals do not support the government. Of course he could completely abstain but that may draw more "Stephane Dion is not a leader" quotations.

or

2) The very risky scenario but personally I feel it is better, I personally believe now is the time Dion should take out this government. If he wants to end accusations of Poor Leadership then he should vote down the throne speech and throw down the gauntlet at Harper, he needs to state that he's not going to run away or playing Stephen Harper's game any longer. He needs to laugh off this cariacture that the media paints him out to be, He needs to show that he is not going to let the Media or Mr. Harper paint him to be like this. I personally do not believe the tripe that Stephane Dion is not a leader, he has had his ups and downs and just like Stephen Harper had people quit on him and said that he never could be prime minister that does not mean Stephane Dion can never be prime minister, I personally believe he will, as Liberals we should not second-guess our choices, We chose Dion and personally I believe that with anyone else as leader we probably would still be in the same position we are now. Dion has obviously started laying the policy groundwork for the next election. I am not sure if he can win Government but I am certain that he can most certainly stop Harper from getting a majority, he needs to believe in himself, he needs to paint Harper as someone who is secretive, arrogant and somebody who is a schoolyard bully because that's essentially what he and the conservative party are, they are a bunch of bullies that feel the need to go and enforce their own agenda no matter how many times people tell them that they are wrong on an issue.

So If Dion wants to show he has some balls he will go and he will take the fight to these clowns.

A little more optimistic then Mr. Glass but nonetheless, I think we're going to gain some seats and not lose much. i think there is going to be a surprise at how poorly the tories do. I'm willing to predict a green party win as well.

UPDATE: Correct are Bolded

CENTRAL ONTARIO
Ajax-Pickering -- Joe Dickson, LIB
Barrie -- Aileen Carroll, LIB
Bramalea-Gore-Malton -- Kuldip Kular, LIB
Brampton-Springdale -- Linda Jeffrey, LIB
Brampton West -- Vic Dhillon, LIB
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound – Shane Jolley, GREEN
Burlington - Joyce Savoline, PC
Dufferin-Caledon -- Sylvia Jones, PC
Durham - John O'Toole, PC
Haliburton-Kwartha Lakes-Brock -- Laurie Scott, PC
Markham-Unionville -- Michael Chan, LIB
Mississauga-Brampton South -- Amrit Mangat, LIB
Mississauga East-Cooksville -- Peter Fonseca, LIB
Mississauga-Erindale -- Harinder Takhar, LIB
Mississauga South -- Charles Sousa, LIB
Mississauga-Streetsville -- Bob Delaney, LIB
Newmarket-Aurora -- Frank Klees, PC
Oak Ridges-Markham -- Helena Jaczek, LIB
Oakville -- Kevin Flynn, LIB
Oshawa -- Sid Ryan, NDP
Parry Sound-Muskoka -- Norm Miller, PC
Peterborough -- Jeff Leal, LIB
Richmond Hill -- Reza Moridi, LIB
Simcoe-Grey -- Jim Wilson, PC
Simcoe North -- Garfield Dunlop, PC
Thornhill -- Mario Racco, LIB
Vaughn -- Greg Sorbara, LIB
Whitby-Oshawa -- Christine Elliott, PC
York-Simcoe -- Julia Munro, PC

EASTERN
Carleton-Mississipi Mills -- Norm Sterling, PC
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell -- Jean-Marc Lalonde, LIB
Kingston and the Islands -- John Gerretsen, LIB
Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington -- Ian Wilson, LIB
Leeds-Grenville -- Bob Runciman, PC
Nepean-Carleton -- Lisa MacLeod, PC
Northumberland-Quite West -- Lou Rinaldi, LIB
Ottawa Centre -- Yasir Naqvi, LIB
Ottawa Orleans -- Phil McNeely, LIB
Ottawa South -- Dalton McGuinty, LIB
Ottawa-Vanier -- Madeleine Meilleur, LIB
Ottawa West-Nepean -- Jim Watson, LIB
Prince Edward-Hastings -- Leona Dombrowsky, LIB
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke -- John Yakabuski, PC
Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry -- Jim Brownell, LIB

SOUTH CENTRAL
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale -- Ted McMeekin, LIB
Brant -- Dave Levac, LIB
Cambridge -- Gerry Martiniuk, PC
Guelph -- Liz Sandals, LIB
Haldimand-Norfolk -- Toby Barrett, PC
Halton - Ted Chudleigh, PC
Hamilton Centre -- Andrea Horwath, NDP
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek -- Nerene Virgin, LIB
Hamilton Mountain -- Sophia Aggelonitis, LIB
Huron-Bruce -- Carol Mitchell, LIB
Kitchener Centre -- John Milloy, LIB
Kitchener-Conestoga -- Michael Harris, PC
Kitchener-Waterloo -- Elizabeth Witmer, PC
Niagara Falls -- Kim Craitor, LIB
Niagara West-Glanbrook -- Tim Hudak, PC
Oxford -- Ernie Hardeman, PC
Perth-Wellington -- John Wilkinson, LIB
St. Catharines -- Jim Bradley, LIB
Welland -- Peter Kormos, NDP
Wellington-Halton Hills -- Ted Arnott, PC

SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO
Chatham-Kent-Essex -- Pat Hoy, LIB
Elgin-Middlesex-London -- Steve Peters, LIB
Essex -- Bruce Crozier, LIB
Lambton-Kent-Middlesex -- Maria Van Bommel, LIB
London North Centre -- Deb Matthews, LIB
London-Fanshawe -- Stephen Maynard, NDP
London West -- Chris Bentley, LIB
Sarnia Lambton -- Caroline Di Cocco, LIB
Windsor-Tecumseh -- Dwight Duncan, LIB
Windsor West -- Sandra Pupatello, LIB

NORTHERN ONTARIO
Algoma-Manitoulin -- Mike Brown, LIB
Kenora-Rainy River -- Howard Hampton, NDP
Nickel Belt -- Ron Dupuis, LIB
Nipissing -- Monique Smith, LIB
Sault Ste. Marie -- David Orazietti, LIB
Thunder Bay-Atikokan -- Bill Mauro, LIB
Thunder Bay-Superior North -- Michael Gravelle, LIB
Timiskaming-Cochrane -- David Ramsay, LIB
Timmins-James Bay -- Gilles Bisson, NDP

TORONTO
Beaches-East York -- Michael Prue, NDP
Davenport -- Tony Ruprecht, LIB
Don Valley East -- David Caplan, LIB
Don Valley West -- Kathleen Wynne, LIB
Eglinton-Lawrence -- Mike Colle, LIB
Etobicoke Centre -- Donna Cansfield, LIB
Etobicoke-Lakeshore -- Laurel Broten, LIB
Etobicoke North -- Shafiq Qaadri, LIB
Parkdale-High Park -- Cheri DiNovo, NDP
Pickering-Scarborough East – Wayne Arthurs, LIB
Scarborough-Agincourt -- Gerry Phillips, LIB
Scarborough Centre -- Brad Duguid, LIB
Scarborough-Guildwood -- Margarett Best, LIB
Scarborough-Rouge River -- Bas Balkissoon, LIB
Scarborough Southwest -- Lorenzo Berardinetti, LIB
St. Paul's -- Michael Bryant, LIB
Toronto Centre -- George Smitherman, LIB
Toronto Danforth -- Peter Tabuns, NDP
Trinity-Spadina -- Rosario Marchese, NDP
Willowdale -- David Zimmer, LIB
York Centre -- Monte Kwinter, LIB
York South-Weston -- Laura Albanese, LIB
York West -- Mario Sergio, LIB


LIBERAL PARTY: 74
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE PARTY: 22
NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY: 10
GREEN PARTY: 1

Here is what I think the Liberals need to do if they want to stop becoming a laughing stock that they already are.

I remember not so long ago that Stephen Harper was in this exact same position, but instead of repeating the old tired liberals are corrupt mantra, he basically was able to offer a lot of policy ideas and people flocked to it because they saw someone who had a vision for Canada "at the time". It's quite funny that the Liberals Popularity is much better then Dion's and Harper is much more popular than his own party.

We cannot afford as a party to have an election at this time, we are in terrible shape and we will get slaughtered if we insist on going into an election, I would suggest Mr. Dion either vote for the throne speech or if not then mass-abstain from it. Secondly, Mr. Dion has to stop being on the defensive and start coming out with policy and try to paint Mr. Harper as somebody who is visionless and a panderer.

I think the Liberals seems to be popular outside of Quebec and Alberta. They aren't in bad shape in those areas but they can still improve. In Quebec however it is where they are really going to have to shape up or ship out. Dion is obviously stuck on the federalism issue and even if he tried to change his views now it would not look genuine. He needs to clearly state that he believes that Quebec has a strong place within Canada and he needs to say that the era of Sovereignty vs Federalism is over and it is time to move on from that debate, He has to give the impression to the Quebecois that he is willing to sit down and listen to what they have to say.

It is going to take at least a year or two to try and win back the hearts and minds of the Quebecois and the rest of Canada, we have no choice but to wait it out and go back to the drawing board. I think that the entire Quebec Wing of the party needs to be completely reformed and fixed up. We need to open more offices as well in Quebec. Dion needs to start raising money online and start trying to appeal to the grassroots of the party. The Liberals need to stop this Top to bottom management style, it's hurt the party so much and it leaves the wrong impression. This is a party run by the people and not run by one person.

This needs to serve as a guiding lesson for now.

Over the past few days many people have stood up with regards to the referendum debate and have basically said that we should vote for this system. Well to me personally I say no. We have only one pledge from a party leader so far that he will allow a party convention to choose the list of Candidates that they will run and that is Howard Hampton. I am assuming that John Tory who recently declared in a story in one of the major papers that he had the same concerns that I had regarding this system.

The truth is the MMP-system is a flawed voting system, it rewards the Leaders and Party Hacks of every party and it allows them to continue to force things to go their way or the highway. And even if this passes what is not to say that the major parties will not follow the Hampton Precedent? As much as I dislike the FPTP system, I feel that MMP is inadequate. I feel that personally we should have Instant-Runoff Voting. It works in Australia and I do personally feel that people need to achieve 50% to win, I feel it's only fair that way.

Let's be honest folks this was a clusterfuck of enormous proportions, this by-election never should have been lost but really I think it had to do with the following.

1. Stephane Dion's candidate, Jocelyn Coulon was badly hurt by perceived anti-semetic writings. It was a really bad decision to put a candidate who had controversy with the Jewish Community up for election.

2. Jack Layton had the best candidate he could get to run for him in that riding and rightfully so, because I would bet you my life savings that if Mulcair did not run, The Liberals would have had this riding. I am almost certain they would have.

3. Is this an indictment of Stephane Dion's leadership? Yes and no, Obviously Dion made a terrible decision by putting up a Candidate like Coulon. However, I again do believe that had Mulcair not been the NDP Candidate, he would not have won. That being said, I think that Dion took the high road and even saw a silver lining in this, as much as I hate having another conservative elected, I would take a federalist over a sovereignist any day.

Stephane Dion is that rare person who has unbridled optimism despite what people say about him. So while this was a terrible terrible error, I am sure that Dion can rebound from this. However, I am really hoping the Liberals do not want to go into an election right now. It would be a huge mistake, We need to see the Conservatives make a big mistake and so far they aren't. However, I personally feel that Harper is not going to make a move until after October 10, that's after the Ontario Provincial Election, BTW.

Shame on Brian Mulroney, He should know better then to kick somebody who cannot speak for himself and cannot defend himself. Mr. Mulroney should know better then to speak ill of the dead, and certainly it's even more shameful he did it to someone who cannot even respond. I admit Pierre Elliott Trudeau was not a perfect man, he was a great politician and Leader, but for Brian Mulroney to say what he did is absolutely shameless and uncalled for.

I'm back from Summer Vacation and ready to blog, I know blogging can be very difficult considering you have to keep working at it. I haven't found much to post about until today, when I've officially realized that John Tory has completely lost his mind.

To be quite honest, as a member of the Liberal Party, I seriously believed that John Tory hitting the liberals over the head with the Broken Promises was really going to do some severe damage, so yes I was quite fearful of what Tory could do. But, instead Tory has run a very sloppy campaign so far. He's had a case of what we like to call foot in mouth disease and cannot seem to get his foot out of his mouth. But, even before that I would say Tory has made some boneheaded moves.

The first boneheaded move came when he chose to run in Toronto, Though John Tory kept his word, he knows damn well it was by far idiotic, I really think that Toronto has changed heavily since the Tories were swept out of Toronto in 2003, The Federal Tories have not held a seat in Urban Toronto in almost 10 years or so and the Provincial Tories are hoping to not start a repeat of that record. If John Tory had run in his old riding of Dufferin-Peel-Wellington-Grey (Now Dufferin-Caledon), he would not have had to worry about campaiging in a very liberal city like Toronto, instead he did just that. Don Valley West, the riding John Tory is running in, does have a bit of a libertarian streak to it and I admit Tory did not pick downtown Toronto, but this is still going to be very very close.

The other boneheaded move by Tory? His opponent is Kathleen Wynne who just so happens to be the Minister of Education, with John Tory now bringing up the Funding Religious Schools Argument, Wynne will likely be able to use her knowledge in the portfolio of Education, to destroy Tory's arguments on this. I know that Provincially, the tories are not as hated as the federal tories are in toronto. But still, this does not Mean John Tory will win this in a walk.

Then Come the Gaffes.

Gaffe #1: Tory Refers to the University of Ottawa as the University of Zero
Gaffe #2: Tory Claims Standardized Testing Can't Be Trusted Because of a Liberal Conspiracy
Gaffe #3: Tory says: Creationism is Awesome and should be taught in Faith-Based Schools!

Jaysus Leweezus, Hasn't John Tory done more then enough to insult the education system the past few days? These Gaffes not only show that John Tory cannot control his mouth, it also shows what Little Knowledge he has of the Education System. McGuinty should make it a priority to hammer this home in the debates. He needs to make the point that Tory is completely oblivious on education and that he doesn't seem to know how the heck the education system works.

I should also ask why Mr. Tory is so hellbent and headstrong on bringing back a failed policy of the Harris Tory era? Somebody please tell me, What is the deal with John Tory?

Well the most accurate polling company in Canada has published it's polling results and if you look at last years election they pretty much called it within one percentage point, these are the most accurate pollsters in Canada.

First the Good

*The Conservatives are down in Quebec and have hit 17% and this is an 11% drop after the last poll.
*Green Party appears to be stealing support from the Conservatives

Taking these numbers into Professor Antweiler's Projection project it predicts something very odd.

The Seat Total if an election was held today would be

Lib-130(+27)
CPC-104 (-20)
BQ-47 (-4)
NDP-26 (-3)
IND-1

If I Insert the Quebec Numbers I get this, as well the total doesn't take into account the west.

BQ-47 (-4)
LIB-21 (+8)
CPC-6 (-4)
IND-1

The Conservatives would lose 4 seats back to the Bloc and the Liberals would gain 7 of the Bloc and 1 off the conservatives, the math is really odd here but this predicition has Lawrence Cannon losing his seat.

In the Atlantic the seat count would be

LIB-21 (+1)
CPC-8 (-1)
NDP-3

The Liberals would win back Tobique-Mactaquac. To me that is what I think will be the one battleground seat in atlantic canada that also included Newfoundland and Labrador.

Ontario's seat count is even stranger

LIB-52 (-2)
CPC-40
NDP-14 (+2)

The NDP would win both of the Thunder Bay Seats but that's about it not much else happening in Ontario.

Then we go into the west and here it the machine spits this out

CPC-38 (-10)
LIB-12 (+7)
NDP-6 (+3)

Now we go into BC.

CPC-16 (-1)
LIB-11 (+2)
NDP-9 (-1)

Territories

We have no polling info on the territories but I will say that we have a retention

2 LIB
1 NDP

TOTAL COUNT
LIB-119 (+16)
CPC-108 (-16)
BQ-47 (-4)
NDP-33 (+4)
IND-1

Well this seems like a very realistic result.

Recent Ipsos Reid Poll Results as gotten from the new polls

Seat By Seat Breakdowns Courtesy of Werner Antweiler's UBC Election Forecaster

Atlantic

LIB:21 (+1)
CPC:8 (-1)
NDP:3

Not much change here except Tobique-Mactaquac going back to the Liberals.

Quebec

Here is what Quebec Would look like next parliament according to Ipsos

BQ:32 (-19)
CPC:23 (+13)
LIB:19 (+6)
IND:1

Again Huge change here as the Liberal regain their traditional Federalist Seats and the Conservatives win in Rural Quebec.

Ontario

Ontario is kind of surprising but I'm going to assume this is correct as most of the seats are NDP to Liberal ones

LIB:59 (+5)
CPC:41 (+1)
NDP:6 (-6)

Saskatchewan and Manitoba

Here we go again

CPC:16 (-4)
LIB:8 (+3)
NDP:4 (+1)

Alberta

No Change

CPC:28

British Columbia

CPC:18 (+1)
LIB:13 (+4)
NDP:5 (-5)

And lets keep the territories at

2 LIB
1 NDP

FINAL TOTAL

CPC: 134 (+10)
LIB: 122 (+19)
BQ: 32 (-19)
NDP: 19 (-10)
IND: 1

So once again, Stephen Harper and the Liberals Gain from the polls and the BLOC and the NDP lose seats for yet a second poll in a row, this means only one thing. Harper if he's looking at a majority government is not going to get it in an election he'll only succed at increasing his seat total but that's it. One thing is for certain now Bloc and NDP are definitely losing seats but could the liberals just gain off the NDP and BQ losses despite not having the best leader? I think so.

It is with great shame that we lost two great people from this world, the first Kurt Vonnegut, was one of the greatest novelists ever to live, and just today, June Callwood, Canada's Social Conscience has passed away at age 82. She had a remarkable life and because of her she faught for many things even before it was fashionable, she had a strong belief in what right, she tried to get health care and help for poor homeless youth, when that didn't work out. She founded a house for theme to stay in. She spoke out against sexual violence, domestic abuse and on teen pregnancy. She founded hostels for abused women and a center for Pregnant Teens. She also took in people who were dying of AIDS in 1988 when there was little options for them. Callwood used her riches for the benefit of the people society looked down upon. She fought for Women's Rights, Gay Rights and ever other social justice cause you can think of. Through it all, she never gave up. She fought for what she believed in and for that she was a great canadian and a wonderful woman. She will be missed.

Louise Thibault, as found out by macleans, has just said she is going to leave the Bloc Quebecois caucus, this is quite surprising considering that she was a bit of a social conservative, it is quite possible she might have left do to social issues but currently, we don't know anything.

I was upset with the news that Belinda Stronach is leaving politics today, she was a very interesting woman and I was glad to see someone with her magnitude (no pun intended) in the house of commons. However, Magna has just purchased Chrysler and she feels her skills could be better used in the business world. First of all, there is one thing I think of when describing Belinda Stronach. Courageous and above all she had balls (in the courageous sense I mean). When she crossed over to the Liberal Party she took many knocks and even after that period of discontent people bashed her with sexist comments and you know what, she could have cried, she could have ran off into a corner. But she didn't, she stood there and she took everything that people said about her and didn't pay attention to it. To me she is courageous for taking the stands she did and being true to herself. I know she's a controversial figure, but anybody who can still stand on their two feet and ignore those kinds of hateful comments is a great person in my book.

Well the most accurate polling company in Canada has published it's polling results and if you look at last years election they pretty much called it within one percentage point, these are the most accurate pollsters in Canada.

First the Good

*The Conservatives after throwing all the money they could at Quebec have suceeded in that region as many thought, however it appears their budget outside of Quebec connected with nobody. It also appears the Conservatives still have not gotten past their last Election numbers with 36 percent.

Taking these numbers into Professor Antweiler's Projection project it predicts something very odd.

The Seat Total if an election was held today would be

Lib-123(+20)
CPC-117 (-7)
BQ-48 (-3)
NDP-19(-10)
IND-1

Of Course I can't believe those numbers because it fails to take into account Quebec.
If I Insert the Quebec Numbers I get this

BQ-40 (-11)
CPC-17 (+7)
LIB-17 (+4)
IND-1

The Conservatives would gain off the bloc and despite the liberals dropping they actually gain seats off the bloc's lost popular vote. The Conservatives would pretty much win in most of the same places the ADQ one like Trois Rivieres and the Gaspe area, the Liberals would gain four federalist seats.

In the Atlantic the seat count would be

LIB-21 (+1)
CPC-6 (-3)
NDP-5 (+2)

The Liberals would win back Tobique-Mactaquac and the Conservatives would lose both Peter MacKay and Gerald Keddy to the NDP. However, the poll fails to take into account Elizabeth May in Peter MacKay's riding so we don't know what that means.

Ontario's seat count is even stranger

LIB-53 (-1)
CPC-48 (+8)
NDP-5 (-7)

The NDP would be decimated and only would hold on to Layton's seat, the two windsor seats, Christopherson's seat and Angus. What's really intersting is the seats the Conservatives will pick up.

Ottawa Centre
Hamilton Mountain
London-Fanshawe
Kenora
London West
Brant
Huron-Bruce
Oakville
Halton

Most of these areas is exactly where the conservatives are targeting kind of odd, but really neat none the less.

Then we go into the west and here it the machine spits something weird out

CPC-36 (-12)
LIB-13 (+8)
NDP-7 (+4)

so it's more like

CPC-39 (-9)
LIB-11 (+6)
NDP-6 (+3)

Okay first I'm calling BS on a few ridings because I personally think the liberals will not win a thing in Alberta, not in this climate, because it predicts they win Edmonton East and Centre and while I personally think it's possible, I have to take into account BC region is offset by this poll. Liberals will not win two edmonton seats NDP is not going to win Selkirk because they don't have Schreyer this time. I'm keeping the one NDP seat in strathcona because i think Duncan can win and there were some seats in SK that switched hands.

Now we go into BC. Which again is going to be fixed as well

CPC-21 (+4)
LIB-15 (+6)
NDP-0 (-10)

First of all this is rediculous because there are two seats I know the NDP is not going to lose no matter how bad it does and that is BC Southern Interior and Vancouver East. But I think they do have the possibility to lost the rest of those. We'll put that at

CPC-21 (+4)
LIB-13 (+4)
NDP-2 (-8)

Territories

We have no polling info on the territories but I will say that we have a retention

2 LIB
1 NDP

TOTAL COUNT
CPC-131 (+7)
LIB-117 (+14)
BQ-40 (-11)
NDP-19 (-10)
IND-1

Well this seems like a very realistic result, the Conservatives will win more seats because of the publics Idea that Stephen Harper is doing a good job even though I don't believe it, The Liberals will win seats in small areas around the country despite the fact they do lose a few to the tories in Ontario, The Bloc gets spanked and the NDP is dejected. So yes we end up with another minority government led by Harper which I personally think will be the end result.